- Data used: latest 10,000 public fills from May 22, 2025 to May 23, 2025; older public fills may exist outside this audit because the source hit its cap.
- The sample is too small—a single closed episode over less than one day—to support any meaningful assessment of trading patterns or edge.
- The account shows a $15.8M loss on a short HYPE position opened 22 May and closed 23 May 2025, with a maximum notional exposure of $47.3M.
0x20b141d3b74779d96b48b966807d719d5dfa08a6
0x20b1...08a6 wallet audit
0x20b1...08a6 audit. -$15,834,666 realised trading PnL across 1 closed position cycles, using the latest 10,000 public fills from May 22, 2025 to May 23, 2025; older public fills may exist outside this audit.
The dollar PnL is the realised result from closed trades in the data covered. The percentage uses an inferred starting value (current account value -$15,834,666 minus closed trading PnL -$15,834,666 = starting estimate $15,834,666). This audit does not ingest a deposit or withdrawal ledger, so it can show that trades lost money, but it cannot prove whether the owner also moved funds in or out. Older fills may also exist outside the latest 10,000-fill window.
This is not a fixed last-week or last-month period. It is the actual span covered by the latest 10,000 public fills Hyperliquid exposed for this wallet. Because the public fill source hit its cap, older trades may exist but are not included here.
- Public fills
- 10,000
- Position cycles
- 1 closed
- Limit
- latest 10,000 fills only
- Single trade, single loss, no wins recorded in the data covered.
- No entry price data available; position sizing and entry mechanics cannot be assessed.
- Sample is too small to draw any conclusions about edge, consistency, or decision-making patterns.
Bottom line up front
Only the most recent public fills are visible, so this audit covers the data covered rather than full account history. The sample is too small—a single closed episode over less than one day—to support any meaningful assessment of trading patterns or edge. The account shows a $15.8M loss on a short HYPE position opened 22 May and closed 23 May 2025, with a maximum notional exposure of $47.3M. This is a single trade, not a track record.
What the data shows
The data covered contains exactly one closed trade: a short position in HYPE entered on 22 May 2025 at an unknown entry price and exited on 23 May 2025 at $33.63, held for 8.89 hours. The position reached a maximum notional value of $47.3M before closing at a realised loss of $15.8M. Gross fees paid were $10,296.22 on $40.4M in gross volume, leaving a net realised loss of $15.8M after fees.
No entry price is recorded in the available data, which prevents calculation of entry-level mechanics or position sizing rationale. The exit price of $33.63 is the only price anchor. The position was closed without a structural stop in place.
There are no open positions and no winning trades in the data covered. The account balance is negative $15.8M.
Trade quality
Win rate is 0% on a sample of one closed trade. Profit factor is undefined—no winning trades exist to offset the single loss. The sample is too small to discuss expectancy, consistency, or any behavioural inference.
Post-mortems
HYPE short, 22–23 May 2025: Opened 22 May 2025, closed 23 May 2025 at $33.63 after 8.89 hours. Maximum notional exposure reached $47.3M. Realised loss: $15.8M. No entry price is available in the public fill record. No structural stop was in place.
Honest summary
- Single trade, single loss, no wins recorded in the data covered.
- No entry price data available; position sizing and entry mechanics cannot be assessed.
- Sample is too small to draw any conclusions about edge, consistency, or decision-making patterns.
Behaviour checksRule-based warnings found in the trading history. They are not moral judgements; they mark patterns worth reviewing.
Rule-based position-cycle checksNo matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
Expectancy is not a forecast. It is the historical average result per closed position cycle in this reconstructed sample.
Risk simulatorA counterfactual replay of the same historical trades using fixed risk limits. It is for comparing risk shape, not predicting future returns.
Replays the same closed position cycles with 1%, 2%, and 4% account-risk sizing. It shows what the wallet would have made or lost if each eligible cycle was sized from account value at entry and a structural stop.
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
The 1%, 2%, and 4% rules are account-risk limits per position cycle, not leverage settings. If the simulated stop is breached, the cycle is stopped early. Outputs are gross of fees and funding, so use them as risk-shape comparisons rather than exact alternate realised trading PnL.