- Data used: latest 10,000 public fills from May 22, 2025 to May 23, 2025; older public fills may exist outside this audit because the source hit its cap.
- The sample is too small to support any meaningful behavioural analysis: a single closed HYPE short position opened 22 May 2025 and exited 23 May 2025 produced a realised loss of $15.83m on a $47.3m notional short.
- The position ran for 8.89 hours and closed at 33.63.
0x20b141d3b74779d96b48b966807d719d5dfa08a6
0x20b1...08a6 wallet audit
0x20b1...08a6 audit. -$15,834,666 realised trading PnL across 1 closed position cycles, using the latest 10,000 public fills from May 22, 2025 to May 23, 2025; older public fills may exist outside this audit.
The dollar PnL is the realised result from closed trades in the data covered. The percentage uses an inferred starting value (current account value -$15,834,666 minus closed trading PnL -$15,834,666 = starting estimate $15,834,666). This audit does not ingest a deposit or withdrawal ledger, so it can show that trades lost money, but it cannot prove whether the owner also moved funds in or out. Older fills may also exist outside the latest 10,000-fill window.
This is not a fixed last-week or last-month period. It is the actual span covered by the latest 10,000 public fills Hyperliquid exposed for this wallet. Because the public fill source hit its cap, older trades may exist but are not included here.
- Public fills
- 10,000
- Position cycles
- 1 closed
- Limit
- latest 10,000 fills only
- The sample is too small to identify any repeatable pattern, edge, or structural weakness. One trade cannot support conclusions about consistency, risk management, or decision-making.
- The loss was severe relative to the notional size deployed, but without entry price, hold duration context, or multiple episodes, no causal analysis is possible.
- Data scope: only the most recent 10,000 fills are visible. Earlier activity, if any, is not included in this audit.
Bottom line up front
Only the most recent public fills are visible, so this audit covers the data covered rather than full account history. The sample is too small to support any meaningful behavioural analysis: a single closed HYPE short position opened 22 May 2025 and exited 23 May 2025 produced a realised loss of $15.83m on a $47.3m notional short. The position ran for 8.89 hours and closed at 33.63. No open positions remain.
What the data shows
The data covered contains exactly one trade: a short sale of HYPE initiated on 22 May at an unknown entry price and closed on 23 May at 33.63. The position reached a maximum notional size of $47.28m and generated a realised loss of $15.83m before fees. Gross fees paid were $10,296.22 against a gross volume of $40.36m, leaving a net realised loss of $15.82m after execution costs.
The loss magnitude and single-trade structure mean the account balance is now negative $15.83m in the data covered. No winning trades exist in the visible record. The short direction was the only direction attempted.
Trade quality
Win rate is 0%. Profit factor is undefined because no winning trades were closed. The single episode produced a loss, making expectancy negative. These metrics are not meaningful with a sample of one.
Post-mortems
HYPE short, opened 22 May 2025, closed 23 May 2025 at 33.63. Maximum notional exposure was $47.28m. Realised loss: $15.83m. The position held for 8.89 hours. Entry price is not recorded in the available data. No structural stop was in place.
Honest summary
- The sample is too small to identify any repeatable pattern, edge, or structural weakness. One trade cannot support conclusions about consistency, risk management, or decision-making.
- The loss was severe relative to the notional size deployed, but without entry price, hold duration context, or multiple episodes, no causal analysis is possible.
- Data scope: only the most recent 10,000 fills are visible. Earlier activity, if any, is not included in this audit.
Behaviour checksRule-based warnings found in the trading history. They are not moral judgements; they mark patterns worth reviewing.
Rule-based position-cycle checksNo matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
No matching position cycles in the data covered.
Expectancy is not a forecast. It is the historical average result per closed position cycle in this reconstructed sample.
Risk simulatorA counterfactual replay of the same historical trades using fixed risk limits. It is for comparing risk shape, not predicting future returns.
Replays the same closed position cycles with 1%, 2%, and 4% account-risk sizing. It shows what the wallet would have made or lost if each eligible cycle was sized from account value at entry and a structural stop.
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
- Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
- 0.0%
- Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
- 0
The 1%, 2%, and 4% rules are account-risk limits per position cycle, not leverage settings. If the simulated stop is breached, the cycle is stopped early. Outputs are gross of fees and funding, so use them as risk-shape comparisons rather than exact alternate realised trading PnL.