Bottom line up front
Only the most recent public fills are visible, so this audit covers the data covered rather than full account history. The sample is too small—seven closed episodes across thirteen days—to support conclusions about edge, consistency, or behavioural patterns. The account shows $164,315 realised profit in the data covered, but this result rests on a single outsized ETH long ($315,479 gain over 293 hours, opened 29 October, closed 10 November at 3952.47) that dwarfs all other closed trades combined. Two sharp losses in the final 24 hours (ETH long on 10–11 November and a ZEC short on 11 November) erased $284,874 and left the account near zero. The headline profit masks severe fragility.
What the data shows
BTC and ETH longs generated the data covered's profit: BTC contributed $152,973 across three episodes (100% win rate), and ETH contributed $116,630 across two episodes (50% win rate). ZEC shorts lost $105,288 across two episodes with a 0% win rate. The single dominant trade was the ETH long from 29 October to 10 November, which captured $315,479 on a $108.5 million notional position. That trade alone accounts for 192% of the account's net realised profit in the data covered; without it, the account would be deeply underwater.
The two largest losses occurred back-to-back on 10–11 November. An ETH long entered at 3561.18 on 10 November and exited at 3547.13 on 11 November, losing $198,848 in 23 hours on a $14.9 million notional. Immediately after, a ZEC short entered at 484.72 and exited at 509.89 in 14 minutes, losing $86,026 on a $2.2 million notional. These trades suggest reactive positioning after the large ETH win closed. The structural stops on both trades were tight (1.37% on ETH, 9.4% on ZEC), but the ZEC stop was breached in minutes, indicating either a failed short thesis or poor entry timing.
Gross fees paid totalled $57,525 on $281.9 million in gross volume, a net fee drag of $57,005. Realised PnL before fees would have been $221,320; fees consumed 26% of gross profit. The account ran six open positions at the time of the data pull, but the data covered shows only closed trades.
Trade quality
Win rate stands at 57.14% across seven closed episodes. Profit factor is undefined due to the structure of the data: the account is profitable overall, but the concentration of profit in a single trade and the sharp losses at the end create a fragile distribution. Expectancy per closed trade is $23,473 (realised PnL divided by closed episodes), but this figure is heavily skewed by the single large ETH win and does not reflect typical trade outcomes.
The sample is too small to assess consistency or edge stability.
Post-mortems
ETH long, 29 October–10 November, entry 3614.98, exit 3952.47, +$315,479. This trade generated nearly all data-covered profit. Held 293 hours, notional peaked at $108.5 million, structural stop at 1.31% below entry. The trade captured a sustained rally and was exited cleanly.
ETH long, 10–11 November, entry 3561.18, exit 3547.13, −$198,848. Opened after the prior ETH win closed, held 23 hours, notional $14.9 million, structural stop 1.37% below entry. Price moved against the position immediately and the stop was not triggered, suggesting the stop was advisory rather than hard. The exit was a manual close into weakness.