RRektrospect

0xfc667adba8d4837586078f4fdcdc29804337ca06

0xfc66...ca06 wallet audit

Open xyz:SP500 long dominates this wallet: $11,313,178 notional, $48,957 +3.5% unrealised, 8x isolated, held at least 60 days, liquidation $6,662. Closed trades are supporting context: -$378 realised trading PnL across 2 closed position cycles, using the latest 10,000 public fills from May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026; older public fills may exist outside this audit.

limited sampleLimited sample: only 2 closed position cycles are visible in the data covered (May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026). Raw metrics are shown, but behavioural conclusions stay caveated until there are at least 10 closed cycles. Classification basis: closed net pnl after fees available window.position-dominatedOpen unrealised PnL is more than 2x the absolute closed realised PnL ($378). The page leads with open exposure, and closed trades are supporting context.latest 10,000 fillsHyperliquid's public fills source is capped for very active wallets. This audit used the latest 10,000 public fills it could retrieve, covering May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026. Older trades may exist outside this page, so lifetime claims are avoided.
ModeProfessional keeps the tone factual. Roast uses the same numbers but writes the commentary more sharply.
ProfessionalRoast
Dominant open positionThis wallet is led by live open exposure rather than closed trades. The trigger is open unrealised PnL greater than 2x closed realised PnL, or the largest open notional greater than closed-trade volume.Open xyz:SP500 long dominates this wallet: $11,313,178 notional, $48,957 +3.5% unrealised, 8x isolated, held at least 60 days, liquidation $6,662.

Closed trades still matter, but they are not the main account story here. The closed-trade sample covers May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026; the open-position figures are live account-state figures from Hyperliquid when the audit ran. The unrealised PnL is still open, not a locked result; liquidation at $6,662 remains the downside boundary for this position.

Position
xyz:SP500 long
Open PnL
$48,957 (+3.5% ROE)
Notional
$11,313,178
Liquidation
$6,662
Read this as
entry $7,539 · mark $7,571 · held at least 60 days · 8x isolated · $1,458,614 margin used
LiquidationLiquidation price reported by Hyperliquid for the dominant open position when available.$6,6628x isolated
Closed realised PnLClosed trading profit or loss after fees in the data covered: May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026. This excludes the live unrealised PnL above.-$3782 closed cycles
Closed volumeGross notional from closed position cycles in the data covered. This is the comparison used to decide whether an open position dominates the wallet.$252,08368 total cycles
Trading PnL vs transfersRealised trading PnL comes from Hyperliquid closed-fill profit and loss. Deposits and withdrawals can change account value, but they are not counted as trading PnL here.

This audit is position-dominated, so open unrealised PnL is shown separately from closed realised trading PnL. The dollar PnL is the realised result from closed trades in the data covered. The percentage uses an inferred starting value (current account value $98,053,069 minus closed trading PnL -$378 = starting estimate $98,053,446). This audit does not ingest a deposit or withdrawal ledger, so it can show that trades lost money, but it cannot prove whether the owner also moved funds in or out. Older fills may also exist outside the latest 10,000-fill window.

Data coveredHyperliquid's public fills source is capped for very active wallets. This audit used the latest 10,000 public fills it could retrieve, covering May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026. Older trades may exist outside this page, so lifetime claims are avoided.May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026

This is not a fixed last-week or last-month period. It is the actual span covered by the latest 10,000 public fills Hyperliquid exposed for this wallet. Because the public fill source hit its cap, older trades may exist but are not included here.

Public fills
10,000
Position cycles
2 closed, 66 open
Limit
latest 10,000 fills only
Equity curveA historical line showing how the wallet balance moved across the data covered: May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026. It is not a prediction.$98,053,069
latest fills onlyHyperliquid's public fills source is capped for very active wallets. This audit used the latest 10,000 public fills it could retrieve, covering May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026. Older trades may exist outside this page, so lifetime claims are avoided.
Equity curve by date and account valueX-axis shows date. Y-axis shows account value in US dollars. The line starts at May 11 with $98M and ends at May 11 with $98M.Account value (USD)Date$98M$98M$98MMay 11May 11
Audit summaryA short extract from the full trader analysis below. It is built from the stored numbers and evidence pack.What matters immediately
  • Open xyz:SP500 long dominates this wallet: $11,313,178 notional, $48,957 +3.5% unrealised, 8x isolated, held at least 60 days, liquidation $6,662.
  • Closed-trade context: -$378 realised trading PnL across 2 closed position cycles in the data covered.
  • Data used: latest 10,000 public fills from May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026; older public fills may exist outside this audit because the source hit its cap.
  • The hold duration is a lower bound because the position was already open at the first visible fill for that market.
Analysis readoutA plain-language interpretation layer from the trader analysis. Use the cards and tables below for the raw evidence.Strengths & weaknesses
  • Open xyz:SP500 long dominates this wallet: $11,313,178 notional, $48,957 +3.5% unrealised, 8x isolated, held at least 60 days, liquidation $6,662.
  • Closed-trade context: -$378 realised trading PnL across 2 closed position cycles in the data covered.
  • Data used: latest 10,000 public fills from May 11, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026; older public fills may exist outside this audit because the source hit its cap.
  • The hold duration is a lower bound because the position was already open at the first visible fill for that market.
Trader analysisThis is the full written analysis for this wallet and mode. The metrics, flags, simulator, and tables below are the supporting evidence.Full trader analysis

Bottom line up front

Open SP500 long dominates this wallet: $11.3M notional, $48,957 unrealised gain, 3.48% unrealised ROE, 8x leverage on isolated margin, held 60 days, liquidation at 6,661.83. This is still open exposure; the unrealised PnL is not locked in, and the final outcome remains unknown until the position closes. The liquidation level sits 12% below current mark price, representing the downside boundary. The sample is too small—only two closed trades in the data covered—to draw behavioural conclusions, but the account's real story is the concentration in this single long position against a portfolio of three large short positions in BTC, ETH, and SOL that are collectively underwater by $927,650 unrealised.

What the data shows

The data covered covers 60 days of activity and captures only the most recent 10,000 public fills. Within that scope, the account has opened 66 positions and closed just 2, leaving 64 open. The closed trades generated -$113,531 realised PnL after fees, but this is noise relative to the open book. The two closed episodes—a long TENCENT loss of -$378.43 on 11 May and a short SMALL2000 win of $0.75 on 11 May—are too small to characterise the account's actual edge or method.

The real capital is deployed in four dominant open positions. The SP500 long at 8x leverage is the only position in profit, carrying $48,957 unrealised gain. The three short positions—BTC at 20x, ETH at 20x, and SOL at 20x—are all underwater. BTC short is down $336,420 unrealised, ETH short is down $594,347 unrealised, and SOL short is barely positive at $3,117 unrealised. Combined, the three shorts are -$927,650 unrealised, while the SP500 long is +$48,957. The net open book is -$568,341 unrealised PnL across $95.3M notional open exposure.

Funding costs have been substantial. data-covered funding paid across the four open positions totals -$1.27M. Since the positions opened (approximately 60 days ago), funding paid is -$99,190 across the four positions. This is a material drag on any eventual close.

The account is operating at extreme leverage and concentration. Margin used across the four open positions is $3.04M against a current balance of $98.05M. The cross-margin shorts are tightly coupled; a sharp move against any of them could cascade into forced liquidations. The SP500 position is isolated, which provides some structural separation, but the three shorts share the same margin pool.

Trade quality

Win rate on closed trades is 50%, but the sample is too small. Only two episodes closed: one loss and one negligible win. Gross fees paid in the data covered total $1,614.12 on $38.4M gross volume, a net fee drag of $1,563.54. The closed realised PnL of -$113,531 is dominated by the TENCENT loss; the SMALL2000 win contributed $0.75. These numbers are not meaningful for assessing edge or discipline.

Post-mortems

TENCENT long, 11 May 2026, entry 466.42, exit 464.52, -$378.43 loss. Opened and closed on the same day in 0.19 hours. The position hit a maximum adverse excursion of -0.56% before closing at a loss. The trade was flagged for averaging down behaviour. Structural stop distance was 0.32% based on 14-period ATR on the 1-hour chart, suggesting tight risk management intent, but the position was closed at a loss regardless.

Behaviour checksRule-based warnings found in the trading history. They are not moral judgements; they mark patterns worth reviewing.

Rule-based position-cycle checks
FOMO re-entryReopened the same market and direction soon after a winning close, but at a worse entry.
0

No matching position cycles in the data covered.

Averaging downAdded size while the position was already moving against the entry.
1
Examples
  • km:TENCENT on May 11, 2026: added to the position; while it was already moving against entry; outcome -$378.
Oversized loserA losing position cycle more than 3x the wallet's median closed loss.
0

No matching position cycles in the data covered.

Revenge tradeOpened a larger-than-normal position within one hour after a closed loss.
0

No matching position cycles in the data covered.

ExpectancyAverage result per closed position cycle after wins and losses are blended. Positive means each completed cycle added money on average.-$188.84
Fees / realised PnLFees as a share of realised trading PnL. High values mean execution cost is eating a meaningful part of the edge.n/a
Maker fill rateShare of fills that added liquidity rather than crossed the spread. Higher maker share usually means more patient execution.+90.8%

Expectancy is not a forecast. It is the historical average result per closed position cycle in this reconstructed sample.

Risk simulatorA counterfactual replay of the same historical trades using fixed risk limits. It is for comparing risk shape, not predicting future returns.

Replays the same closed position cycles with 1%, 2%, and 4% account-risk sizing. It shows what the wallet would have made or lost if each eligible cycle was sized from account value at entry and a structural stop.

1% account-risk ruleThis scenario limits each eligible position cycle to about 1% of account value at the simulated stop.-$1,833,150
Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
-1.9%
Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
2
2% account-risk ruleThis scenario limits each eligible position cycle to about 2% of account value at the simulated stop.-$3,666,301
Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
-3.7%
Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
2
4% account-risk ruleThis scenario limits each eligible position cycle to about 4% of account value at the simulated stop.-$7,332,601
Max drawdownLargest high-to-low account-value drop inside this simulated replay.
-7.5%
Stopped earlyHow many historical position cycles would have exited before the real close because the simulated stop was hit.
2

The 1%, 2%, and 4% rules are account-risk limits per position cycle, not leverage settings. If the simulated stop is breached, the cycle is stopped early. Outputs are gross of fees and funding, so use them as risk-shape comparisons rather than exact alternate realised trading PnL.

Equity curve by date and account valueX-axis shows date. Y-axis shows account value in US dollars. The line starts at May 11 with $96M and ends at May 11 with $94M.Account value (USD)Date$96M$95M$94MMay 11May 11

Top lossesThe largest realised losing position cycles in the data covered by this audit.

Click a row for the trade breakdown
MarketThe traded Hyperliquid market or coin.SideLong means the wallet benefited if price rose. Short means it benefited if price fell.SizeLargest notional exposure reached during the reconstructed position cycle.PnLRealised profit or loss when the position cycle closed.DateClosed date when available; otherwise the cycle open date.

Top winsThe largest realised winning position cycles in the data covered by this audit.

Realised position-cycle outcomes
MarketThe traded Hyperliquid market or coin.SideLong means the wallet benefited if price rose. Short means it benefited if price fell.SizeLargest notional exposure reached during the reconstructed position cycle.PnLRealised profit or loss when the position cycle closed.DateClosed date when available; otherwise the cycle open date.
km:SMALL2000short$15,843$12026-05-11

By marketBreaks the audit down by traded market or coin so you can see which markets helped or hurt the account.

Realised results by coin
CoinThe traded Hyperliquid market.CyclesClosed reconstructed position cycles for this market. One cycle can contain many fills.WinShare of that market's closed position cycles that ended positive.PnLRealised PnL attributed to this market's closed position cycles in the data covered by this audit.
km:TENCENT10.0%-$378
km:SMALL20001+100.0%$1
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